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Cliology

The Long View: Constitution of the Ecumenical Empire

John was very interested in the form the future might take. He wrote a book that was his attempt to limn the future by means of a program he wrote in BASIC and the ideas of Oswald Spengler and Arnold Toynbee. Like myself, John felt that the idea of cycles

The Long View 2002-01-21 Crusaders

One of the reasons I wanted to look back over John's writings 12 years later, is I'm curious how well his predictions turned out. One of John's intellectual interests was what he called macrohistory or metahistory, the study of models of history. In the

Has Intelligence Declined in the Modern Era?

Has Intelligence Declined in the Modern Era?

I mentioned this subject a couple of times before. Simple reaction time data from Woodley et al.Bruce Charlton is the first person I know of to discuss the implications of the change in simple reaction time data in the paper by Woodley et al. Charlton claims the data shows

The Peshawar Lancers by S. M. Stirling Book Review

by S. M. Stirling $7.99; 483 pages I picked up this book [Amazon link] because Stirling co-authored several of the books collected in The Prince with Jerry Pournelle. I hadn't ever read a solo work by Stirling, so I was curious. I have had mixed success with

Different Books at Different Times

One of my favorite things about books is how the same book can seem completely different at different times in your life. The best books can be profitably read again and again, with new insights each time. There have been a few books I tried to read, but I found

Geographic History

Geographic History

An idea formerly popular but now largely ignored is the influence of geography on history. However, like macrohistory or cliodynamics, there are a few hardy souls attempting to reinvigorate the concept. George Friedman gives a pretty good exposition at Stratfor: The American geography is an impressive one. The Greater Mississippi

Right on Cue

Right on Cue

Nature has an article on the attempt to fit cyclical models to history. CliologyI was about to say that interest in this subject waxes and wanes, but that is going too far. We do tend to forget the real attraction to Marxism in the early twentieth century was its promise