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The Long View

The Long View 2007-05-18: Immigration Compromise; Abora III; Crank Koranic Critics; Red-Green Alliance

I’m not sure this exactly counts as a prediction, but it sure came true: The entire United States is now a border town. Even enforcing the immigration laws we have now would require a national police tasked chiefly with that function. Asking the current bureaucracy to manage the guest-worker

The Long View 2007-05-16: Real Estate; Falwell; Stellar Expectations; Antarctica; Department of Evil

I had forgotten about this one, but it can’t have been an inconsiderable reason for my bubble skepticism in 2007/8. John also offers a theory that the resurgence of evangelical Christianity in the mid-2000s was not in fact incipient theocracy, but rather a return to a pattern that

The Long View 2007-05-11: Merry Warming; Grasshoppers; Opinion Monkeys; The Defense of Socialism Continues; The Purpose of GWB

Here is a prediction that definitely did not happen: The shift from deterrence to defense has gone too far to stop, I think, though the Left seems determined to make the transition as slow as possible. The awkward bit, still a decade in the future, will be the negotiation with

The Long View 2007-05-08: Sarkozy; the Naughty Vicars; Immigration

This is an interesting look back at the election of Nicolas Sarkozy, President of France at about the same time that Barack Obama had his first time as President of the United States. Sarkozy; the Naughty Vicars; Immigration Surely Amir Taheri goes too far in The New York Post, where

The Long View 2007-05-03: Spam, Spamalot, Spam, Nightfall

This is a pretty good quote about the attractions of sacred or magical objects: he is as aware as Tennyson was that "Grail Questing" is a dark and even sinister enterprise, usually undertaken by dark and sometimes sinister people Much like political office, usually the one who wants

The Long View 2007-04-27: Next; Gliese 581c; National Greatness

This is my go-to quote regarding the works of Philip Dick: He wasn't a nihilist, but he was ontologically subversive. In contrast, I believe that reality is fragile and merits our support. Next; Gliese 581c; National Greatness Philip Dick's stories are unavoidable for someone with my

The Long View 2007-04-23: Catholicism & Open Borders; Tolkein & Higher Loyalties

John J. Reilly wasn’t much amused by the trend toward de facto open borders in American Catholic thinking. It did not turn out to be true that this trend was directly imported into the American church by business interests. I suspect that for many people who argue this way,